Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses

Torremolinos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Ibiza play Torremolinos in the Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD Ibiza averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Torremolinos averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, UD Ibiza won 1, Torremolinos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for UD Ibiza and 1.00 for Torremolinos. This points to a UD Ibiza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

UD Ibiza

30%

Draws

34%

Torremolinos

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

UD Ibiza picked up more points recently compared to Torremolinos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 23%

Torremolinos Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Ibiza	Torremolinos
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	9	9
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.23	1.2
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2

UD Ibiza vs Torremolinos

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Oct 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Torremolinos vs UD Ibiza

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslava J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castillo F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 37 / 100

Torremolinos 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Ibiza Torremolinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Ibiza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Ibiza attacking → ← attacking Torremolinos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ibiza scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Torremolinos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UD Ibiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Torremolinos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 39

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eldense	38	19	12	7	57:39	69
2	Sabadell	38	18	14	6	53:27	68
3	Atl. Madrid B	38	19	10	9	64:44	67
4	Villarreal B	38	16	15	7	54:32	63
5	CE Europa	38	16	12	10	55:50	60
6	FC Cartagena SAD	38	15	12	11	37:38	57
7	Antequera	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
8	Algeciras	38	15	10	13	40:41	55
9	Hercules	38	14	12	12	43:41	54
10	Murcia	38	14	10	14	43:40	52
11	Alcorcon	38	12	15	11	44:38	51
12	UD Ibiza	38	13	11	14	44:38	50
13	Teruel	38	12	13	13	27:33	49
14	Gimnastic de Tarragona	38	13	8	17	40:49	47
15	Torremolinos	38	11	13	14	45:51	46
16	Betis B	38	12	9	17	48:59	45
17	Tarazona	38	11	12	15	31:40	45
18	Marbella	38	9	7	22	36:55	34
19	Sanluqueno	38	7	10	21	27:53	31
20	Sevilla B	38	5	13	20	21:44	28