Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ibiza vs Torremolinos

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ribeiro I.
9' Event
Eslava J.
36'
Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

UD Ibiza in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
UD Ibiza
15%
Draws
34%
Torremolinos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Ibiza have won more games recently than Torremolinos.
  • UD Ibiza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ibiza Torremolinos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Torremolinos
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs UD Ibiza
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslava J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 95 / 100
Torremolinos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ibiza Torremolinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Ibiza scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Torremolinos conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Torremolinos has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Ibiza VS Torremolinos
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ibiza

(Home)
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
30 Aug
Antequera
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
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Torremolinos

(Away)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)