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UD Logrones B vs San Marcial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Martinez N.
17' Event
Cepas J.
38' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UD Logrones B
35%
Draws
35%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UD Logrones B have won more games recently than San Marcial.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Logrones B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones B San Marcial
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs San Marcial
5:0
Sep 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
1:2
Apr 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
0:1
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs San Marcial
3:2
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cepas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

San Marcial Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones B 32 / 100
San Marcial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones B San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones B scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

San Marcial let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

UD Logrones B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones B VS San Marcial
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones B

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones B
2 : 4
Olot
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1
UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
UD Logrones B
0 : 0
Barcelona B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
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San Marcial

(Away)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)