Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Logrones vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Febas J.
82' Event
Lupu A.
88' Event
Benitez C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Logrones and Mutilvera finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
UD Logrones
20%
Draws
11%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of Mutilvera on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Logrones a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and UD Logrones have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Mutilvera
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.39 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 0.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Mutilvera
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs UD Logrones
0:4
Feb 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs UD Logrones
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Mutilvera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Febas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lupu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.21
Avg xA / game 0.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 95 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Mutilvera has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

UD Logrones has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Mutilvera
2.13 Goals Scored 0.2
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Huesca B
21 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Mirandes
14 Aug
UD Logrones
1 : 2
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

Mutilvera

(Away)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)