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UD Logrones vs Naxara

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Martinez H.
40' Event
Mari Sanchez M.
44' Event
Otadui I.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
UD Logrones
30%
Draws
9%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • UD Logrones have won more games recently than Naxara.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Logrones have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Naxara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.4 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs UD Logrones
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Naxara
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Logrones vs Naxara
3:1
Aug 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Naxara vs UD Logrones
0:3
Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs UD Logrones
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Mari Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otadui I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 95 / 100
Naxara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

UD Logrones has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Naxara conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Naxara
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
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Naxara

(Away)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
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