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UD Logrones vs San Sebastian Reyes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
UD Logrones Logo

UD Logrones

1 - 0
FT
San Sebastian Reyes Logo

San Sebastian Reyes

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rosas B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
UD Logrones
20%
Draws
35%
San Sebastian Reyes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Logrones lately — more wins on the board than San Sebastian Reyes.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones taking it.
  • UD Logrones have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UD Logrones, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones San Sebastian Reyes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 2.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:1
May 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:0
Mar 26, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 59 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones San Sebastian Reyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: UD Logrones stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

San Sebastian Reyes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS San Sebastian Reyes
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
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San Sebastian Reyes

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1