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UD Los Garres vs Bala Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bala Azul in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
UD Los Garres
35%
Draws
32%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UD Los Garres haven't matched Bala Azul's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UD Los Garres's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bala Azul have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 18%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Los Garres Bala Azul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Bala Azul
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs UD Los Garres
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Bala Azul
4:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs UD Los Garres
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Los Garres 41 / 100
Bala Azul 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Los Garres Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: UD Los Garres remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

UD Los Garres scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Los Garres VS Bala Azul
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Los Garres

(Home)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
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Bala Azul

(Away)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yeclano 34 24 8 2 71:21 80
2 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
3 Racing Murcia 34 15 12 7 48:27 57
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 15 9 10 49:34 54
5 La Union (Malacitano) 34 15 9 10 44:31 54
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 15 10 9 52:42 53
7 Real Murcia B 34 14 9 11 49:46 51
8 Caravaca 34 13 11 10 44:40 50
9 Ciudad de Murcia 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
10 Bullense 34 12 7 15 34:50 43
11 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 10 13 41:44 43
12 Archena Sport 34 12 7 15 48:49 43
13 Deportiva Minera 34 12 6 16 39:51 42
14 Bala Azul 34 10 10 14 30:45 40
15 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 10 8 16 35:49 38
16 Mazarron FC 34 10 7 17 33:48 37
17 Huercal-Overa CF 34 5 10 19 26:54 25
18 UD Los Garres 34 4 8 22 23:66 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 (Play Offs)