Sport Picks
UD Los Garres vs Lorca Deportiva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 game between UD Los Garres and Lorca Deportiva finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lorca Deportiva come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
- Win probability leans UD Los Garres's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lorca Deportiva have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Los Garres | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Lorca Deportiva
1:3
Dec 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs UD Los Garres
4:1
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs UD Los Garres
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Lorca Deportiva
0:2
May 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs UD Los Garres
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Los Garres 42 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Los Garres Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: UD Los Garres remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
UD Los Garres found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
UD Los Garres VS Lorca Deportiva
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Los Garres
(Home) 04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0 UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1 UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1 UD Los Garres
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
29 Oct
UD Los Garres
0 : 4 Elche
04 Oct
UD Los Garres
4 : 0 Manises
30 Aug
UD Los Garres
1 : 2 Santomera
Page 1 of 3
Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeclano | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 71:21 | 80 |
| 2 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:32 | 60 |
| 3 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 48:27 | 57 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:34 | 54 |
| 5 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:31 | 54 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 49:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Caravaca | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 9 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 10 | Bullense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 34:50 | 43 |
| 11 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Archena Sport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48:49 | 43 |
| 13 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 14 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:45 | 40 |
| 15 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 16 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:48 | 37 |
| 17 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26:54 | 25 |
| 18 | UD Los Garres | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23:66 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
