Sport Picks

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UD Ourense vs Barco

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Sanchez R.
71' Event
Dominguez X.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between UD Ourense and Barco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Ourense
15%
Draws
42%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Ourense come out ahead of Barco on wins alone.
  • UD Ourense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UD Ourense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Barco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense Barco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
UD Ourense vs Barco
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs UD Ourense
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Barco
2:2
Feb 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs UD Ourense
0:1
Nov 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Barco
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 36 / 100
Barco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Barco has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Barco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS Barco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
08 Aug
Celta Vigo B
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
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