Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Coruxo FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Ourense play Coruxo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD Ourense averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Coruxo FC averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, UD Ourense won 1, Coruxo FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for UD Ourense and 1.13 for Coruxo FC. This points to a UD Ourense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

UD Ourense

23%

Draws

32%

Coruxo FC

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

UD Ourense picked up more points recently compared to Coruxo FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

UD Ourense Clean Sheet 21%

Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Ourense	Coruxo FC
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	17	14
Draws	8	6
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.32	1.35
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense vs Coruxo FC

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Coruxo FC vs UD Ourense

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Zayzoun Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anon D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 45 / 100

Coruxo FC 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Ourense Coruxo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Ourense or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Ourense attacking → ← attacking Coruxo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Coruxo FC let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

UD Ourense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Coruxo FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 48

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15