Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

UD Ourense

1 - 0

Gimnastica Segoviana

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Vazquez O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UD Ourense

Draws

Gimnastica Segoviana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gimnastica Segoviana haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on UD Ourense taking it.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

UD Ourense Clean Sheet 68%

Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Ourense	Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	8	8
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Ourense

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 95 / 100

Gimnastica Segoviana 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Ourense Gimnastica Segoviana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U.D Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: UD Ourense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gimnastica Segoviana has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS Gimnastica Segoviana

1.63 Goals Scored 0.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15