Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ourense vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Vazquez O.

AI Match Summary

UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
UD Ourense
15%
Draws
73%
Gimnastica Segoviana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gimnastica Segoviana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gimnastica Segoviana haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Gimnastica Segoviana taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Gimnastica Segoviana
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Ourense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 16 / 100
Gimnastica Segoviana 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense Gimnastica Segoviana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastica Segoviana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gimnastica Segoviana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Gimnastica Segoviana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS Gimnastica Segoviana
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastica Segoviana

(Away)
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)