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UD Ourense vs Laracha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UD Ourense
30%
Draws
47%
Laracha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laracha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Laracha.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Laracha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense Laracha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Laracha
2:2
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs UD Ourense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 32 / 100
Laracha 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense Laracha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laracha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laracha has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

UD Ourense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Laracha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
Page 1 of 7

Laracha

(Away)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)