Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between UD Ourense and Pontellas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontellas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- UD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Pontellas a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Pontellas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Pontellas
4:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs UD Ourense
1:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Pontellas
2:2
Sep 8, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs UD Ourense
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Ourense 24 / 100
Pontellas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Ourense Pontellas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontellas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontellas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
UD Ourense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: UD Ourense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UD Ourense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home) 27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1 UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0 UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
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27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0 Barco
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Conquense
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Pontellas
(Away) 19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1 Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2 Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1 Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1 Pontellas
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19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1 Pontellas
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1 Pontellas
02 May
Agrupacion Estudiantil
2 : 1 Pontellas
18 Apr
Fisterra
2 : 0 Pontellas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
