Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

UD Ourense

1 - 0

Salamanca CF UDS

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Prado S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between UD Ourense and Salamanca CF UDS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UD Ourense

Draws

Salamanca CF UDS

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Salamanca CF UDS haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
Win probability leans UD Ourense's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

UD Ourense Clean Sheet 68%

Salamanca CF UDS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Ourense	Salamanca CF UDS
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	12
Draws	8	7
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense vs Salamanca CF UDS

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Salamanca CF UDS vs UD Ourense

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Prado S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Salamanca CF UDS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 95 / 100

Salamanca CF UDS 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Ourense Salamanca CF UDS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U.D Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

UD Ourense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Salamanca CF UDS conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Salamanca CF UDS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS Salamanca CF UDS

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15