Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ourense vs UD Logrones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Morales A.
6'
Morales A.
11'
Champi

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between UD Ourense and UD Logrones finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
UD Ourense
30%
Draws
61%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of UD Ourense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UD Logrones's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense UD Logrones
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.24 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs UD Logrones
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 10 / 100
UD Logrones 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

UD Ourense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS UD Logrones
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)