Sport Picks
UD Ovarense vs Beira Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 
AI Match Summary
UD Ovarense host Beira Mar in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. UD Ovarense have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Beira Mar's 1.23 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Ovarense slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2006, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.10 - 0.83) back Beira Mar to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Beira Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on UD Ovarense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ovarense | Beira Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Ovarense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Beira Mar conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: UD Ovarense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ovarense
(Home)Beira Mar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 6 | SC Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Cinfaes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Uniao Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
