Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ovarense vs Covilha

Portugal Portugal

Liga de Honra 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Covilha in this Liga de Honra 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Covilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UD Ovarense
39%
Draws
31%
Covilha
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Covilha lately — more wins on the board than UD Ovarense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Honra 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UD Ovarense Clean Sheet 20%
Covilha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ovarense Covilha
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Taça de Portugal
UD Ovarense vs Covilha
2:3
Feb 12, 2006 Liga Portugal 2
UD Ovarense vs Covilha
1:2
Sep 25, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs UD Ovarense
2:0
Apr 10, 2004 Liga Portugal 2
UD Ovarense vs Covilha
2:0
Dec 7, 2003 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs UD Ovarense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ovarense 31 / 100
Covilha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ovarense Covilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ovarense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Covilha conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UD Ovarense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Covilha
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ovarense

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
2 : 3
Covilha
31 Aug
UD Ovarense
7 : 1
SC Celoricense
07 Sept
UD Ovarense
1 : 2
Sao Joao de Ver
10 Oct
UD Ovarense
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
07 May
UD Ovarense
2 : 1
Beira Mar
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Covilha

(Away)
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Caldas SC
1 : 1
Covilha
18 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 0
Covilha
12 Apr
Covilha
2 : 1
Atletico CP
21 Mar
1º Dezembro
1 : 2
Covilha
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beira Mar341814245:1868
2Aves341810647:3064
3Leixoes341711647:1962
4Olhanense341313841:2852
5Varzim341313847:3952
6Gondomar341491156:4151
7Santa Clara341312945:3251
8Chaves3413111040:3650
9Estoril3411121144:4345
10Feirense341281444:4444
11Vizela3411111242:4844
12Portimonense3410131136:3643
13Moreirense341191436:3742
14Covilha3410121237:4242
15FC Barreirense348111531:4135
16FC Marco34781932:6329
17UD Ovarense34672136:7225
18FC Maia Lidador34662230:6724
Promotion - Primeira Liga 2006/2007 (Main)
Promotion - Primeira Liga 2006/2007 (Main)