Sport Picks

UD Ovarense vs Os Marialvas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

UD Ovarense

0 - 1

Os Marialvas

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Felix J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

UD Ovarense

15%

Draws

42%

Os Marialvas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ovarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Os Marialvas come out ahead of UD Ovarense on wins alone.
42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Os Marialvas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Os Marialvas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

UD Ovarense Clean Sheet 31%

Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Ovarense	Os Marialvas
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	13
Draws	3	6
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.28	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.79	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	0.92	0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal

UD Ovarense vs Os Marialvas

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ovarense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71

Avg xA / game 0.46

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Felix J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.42

Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ovarense 34 / 100

Os Marialvas 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Ovarense Os Marialvas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ovarense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: UD Ovarense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Os Marialvas has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Ovarense VS Os Marialvas

1.33 Goals Scored 0.75

0.17 Goals Conceded 0.5

50% Over 1.5 50%

17% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ovarense

(Home)

20 Sept

UD Ovarense

0 : 1

Os Marialvas

13 Sept

Estrela Calheta

0 : 3

UD Ovarense

06 Sept

UD Ovarense

2 : 0

Sousense

23 Aug

UD Ovarense

1 : 0

Uniao Lamas

16 Aug

Castro Daire

0 : 2

UD Ovarense

Page 1 of 6

Os Marialvas

(Away)

20 Sept

UD Ovarense

0 : 1

Os Marialvas

13 Sept

GD Os Nazarenos

0 : 3

Os Marialvas

06 Sept

Os Marialvas

3 : 0

Fatima

30 Aug

Fornos de Algodres

0 : 4

Os Marialvas

23 Aug

Os Marialvas

1 : 2

Oliveira Hospital

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

SC Salgueiros -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense -

Maritimo -

Tondela -

Alverca -

Paredes -

Famalicao -

CF Os Belenenses -

Arouca -

Fazendense -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

Gil Vicente -

AFS -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Sanjoanense -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

Casa Pia -

Louletano -

Rio Ave -

Fatima -

Academico Viseu -

SC Farense -

AD Marco 09 -

Academica -

Amarante FC -

Leiria -

GD Braganca -

Atletico CP -

Vizela -

Chaves -

Os Marialvas -

SC Vianense -

Leixoes -

Penafiel -

Leca -

FC Felgueiras -

AD Fafe -

Olhanense -

Oliveira Hospital -

Lusitania FC -

AD Limianos -

Vitoria Setubal -

Uniao Da Serra -

Florgrade -

Portimonense -

Brito -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

UD Ovarense vs Os Marialvas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

UD Ovarense

Os Marialvas

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

UD Ovarense Compare

Os Marialvas Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ovarense

Os Marialvas

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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