Sport Picks
UD Poblense vs Atletico Rafal Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
UD Poblense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Poblense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD Poblense lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Rafal.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on UD Poblense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors UD Poblense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Poblense | Atletico Rafal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Rafal
9:1
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs UD Poblense
2:1
Mar 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Rafal
3:0
Oct 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs UD Poblense
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Poblense 85 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Poblense Atletico Rafal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Rafal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.75 goals.
UD Poblense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Away concern: Atletico Rafal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UD Poblense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Poblense
(Home) 04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1 UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
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27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Valencia B
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1 Numancia
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Atletico Rafal
(Away) 17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
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17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
02 Apr
UD Alaro
3 : 0 Atletico Rafal
21 Mar
Collerense
2 : 0 Atletico Rafal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 90:27 | 83 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 75:33 | 80 |
| 3 | Formentera | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 58:27 | 80 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:31 | 67 |
| 5 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:53 | 65 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 7 | Alcudia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 59:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 47:51 | 54 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Manacor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 63:62 | 53 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 60:60 | 53 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 51:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:65 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 40 |
| 17 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 43:84 | 37 |
| 19 | Felanitx | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 20 | Santanyi | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26:93 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
