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UD Poblense vs Murense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

UD Poblense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UD Poblense
20%
Draws
32%
Murense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Murense haven't matched UD Poblense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UD Poblense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Poblense here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Murense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Murense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Murense
4:0
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs UD Poblense
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs UD Poblense
2:3
Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Murense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 85 / 100
Murense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Murense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murense let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

UD Poblense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Murense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

Murense

(Away)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)