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UD Poblense vs Porreres

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alorda M.
38' Event
Fullana F.
57' Event
Fullana F.

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Poblense
6%
Draws
4%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Poblense lately — more wins on the board than Porreres.
  • Model gives UD Poblense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 68%
Porreres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Porreres
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Porreres
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs UD Poblense
0:3
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs UD Poblense
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Porreres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fullana F.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Alorda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 95 / 100
Porreres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Poblense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Porreres let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: UD Poblense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS Porreres
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
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Porreres

(Away)
03 May
Porreres
0 : 0
Alcoyano
26 Apr
UD Poblense
3 : 1
Porreres
19 Apr
Porreres
0 : 1
Baleares
12 Apr
UD Barbastro
2 : 0
Porreres
05 Apr
Porreres
1 : 5
Barcelona B
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sant Andreu34206851:3366
2Baleares34199653:3466
3UD Poblense341611741:2859
4Reus FC Reddis341671150:3855
5Alcoyano341316530:2055
6Barcelona B3414101062:4052
7Girona B3412111145:3747
8Terrassa3411131036:4446
9Valencia B3410141053:5044
10Espanyol B3410141034:3544
11UD Barbastro3410131132:3143
12Olot3410121231:3242
13Castellon B341191459:7242
14SD Ibiza3410101435:4440
15Andratx34891735:5633
16CE Atletic Lleida346121637:5130
17Torrent34791836:5330
18Porreres34691922:4427
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)