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UD Realejos vs UD Guia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 game between UD Realejos and UD Guia finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Realejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Realejos
15%
Draws
42%
UD Guia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Realejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Guia come out ahead of UD Realejos on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Guia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
UD Realejos Clean Sheet 20%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Realejos UD Guia
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 8 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Realejos vs UD Guia
4:1
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs UD Realejos
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Realejos 12 / 100
UD Guia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Realejos UD Guia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Guia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UD Realejos found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (36 games).

UD Guia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

UD Guia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Guia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Realejos

(Home)
02 Aug
UD Realejos
1 : 0
Orotava
11 May
UD Realejos
1 : 0
Vecindario
03 May
Union Viera
5 : 2
UD Realejos
26 Apr
UD Realejos
0 : 1
Mensajero
17 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
6 : 1
UD Realejos
Page 1 of 8

UD Guia

(Away)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)