Sport Picks
UD Samano vs Atletico Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 
Match Events
8'
8'
Subisaga A.
36'
36'
Fernandez B.
67'
67'
Villasana A.
AI Match Summary
UD Samano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Samano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Samano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Mineros have won more games recently than UD Samano.
- Model gives UD Samano a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors UD Samano here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Mineros Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Samano | Atletico Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Atletico Mineros
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Atletico Mineros
3:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Samano Compare
Top Goalscorer Subisaga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Atletico Mineros Compare
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Samano 83 / 100
Atletico Mineros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Samano Atletico Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Samano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
UD Samano found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Atletico Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: UD Samano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UD Samano VS Atletico Mineros
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Samano
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1 UD Samano
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1 UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5 Bergantinos
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3 Numancia
28 Mar
UD Samano
0 : 4 Real Avila
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Mineros
(Away) 03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2 Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2 Cayon CD
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0 Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2 Atletico Mineros
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0 Atletico Mineros
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2 Atletico Mineros
26 Apr
Bezana
2 : 0 Atletico Mineros
12 Apr
CD Colindres
1 : 1 Atletico Mineros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Samano | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:22 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:30 | 67 |
| 3 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 61:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 45:26 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:42 | 57 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Torina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 50 |
| 9 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 60:59 | 49 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Gama | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:56 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Barreda Balompie | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 49:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 40:59 | 33 |
| 17 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:53 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Monte | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
