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UD Samano vs Gama

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Berzosa A.
40' Event
Villasana A.
63' Event
Berzosa A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between UD Samano and Gama finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Samano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Samano
15%
Draws
85%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gama's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what UD Samano have produced (0.88).
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 14%
Gama Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Gama
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Gama
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs UD Samano
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs UD Samano
1:1
Nov 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Gama
2:2
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs UD Samano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Berzosa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Villasana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Gama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 10 / 100
Gama 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

UD Samano's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Difficult form: Gama registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
04 Apr
Sarriana
4 : 0
UD Samano
Page 1 of 7

Gama

(Away)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)