Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Samano vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Castillo Marcilla A.
35' Event
Tirado H.
52' Event
Primo

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UD Samano
30%
Draws
23%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Samano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won more games recently than UD Samano.
  • UD Samano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.9 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Samano vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:2
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UD Samano
4:0
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UD Samano
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirado H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Primo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 95 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Gimnastic de Torrelavega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Samano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: UD Samano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4
UD Samano
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Away)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
Page 1 of 6