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UD Samano vs Real Avila

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Serrano Iranzo G.
62' Event
Serrano Iranzo G.
65' Event
Serrano Iranzo G.

AI Match Summary

Real Avila in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Avila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
UD Samano
15%
Draws
51%
Real Avila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Samano haven't matched Real Avila's recent run of results.
  • Real Avila are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Real Avila
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Real Avila
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs UD Samano
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Avila Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano Iranzo G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Terrazas V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 14 / 100
Real Avila 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Real Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Avila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Avila let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Real Avila has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

UD Samano scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS Real Avila
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
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Real Avila

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)