Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD San Fernando vs Atletico Paso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Corral S.
36' Event
Velicias A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between UD San Fernando and Atletico Paso finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UD San Fernando
39%
Draws
31%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Paso have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — UD San Fernando are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando Atletico Paso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs UD San Fernando
3:0
Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs UD San Fernando
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
UD San Fernando vs Atletico Paso
0:0
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs UD San Fernando
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Velicias A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 31 / 100
Atletico Paso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando Atletico Paso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD San Fernando scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Atletico Paso conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: UD San Fernando remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Atletico Paso
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125