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UD San Pedro vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Almagro D.
65' Event
Mora M.

AI Match Summary

UD San Pedro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD San Pedro
6%
Draws
4%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Churriana de la Vega haven't matched UD San Pedro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives UD San Pedro a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 20%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Pedro Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs UD San Pedro
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Churriana de la Vega
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Almagro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mora M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Pedro 85 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Pedro Churriana de la Vega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: UD San Pedro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

UD San Pedro scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Churriana de la Vega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

UD San Pedro VS Churriana de la Vega
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327