Sport Picks
UD San Pedro vs Motril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
2'
2'
Cabrera M.
77'
77'
Garzon J.
81'
81'
Navarro Benito I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between UD San Pedro and Motril finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Motril's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what UD San Pedro have produced (1.1).
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Motril taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 20%
Motril Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD San Pedro | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD San Pedro
3:3
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD San Pedro
4:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD San Pedro Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarro Benito I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Garzon J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camacho C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD San Pedro 24 / 100
Motril 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD San Pedro Motril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Attacking prowess: UD San Pedro scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Motril has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
UD San Pedro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UD San Pedro VS Motril
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD San Pedro
(Home) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3 UD San Pedro
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0 UD San Pedro
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
10 May
UD San Pedro
2 : 1 Arenas Armilla
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0 CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 3
Motril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
