Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Andrew
71'
71'
Ortega A.
84'
84'
Lopez A.
AI Match Summary
UD San Pedro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD San Pedro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Motril average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of UD San Pedro's 1.1.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Motril taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 24%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD San Pedro | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD San Pedro
3:3
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD San Pedro
4:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Motril
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD San Pedro Compare
Top Goalscorer Andrew
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortega A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD San Pedro 25 / 100
Motril 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD San Pedro Motril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
UD San Pedro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Motril conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: UD San Pedro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UD San Pedro VS Motril
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD San Pedro
(Home) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3 UD San Pedro
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0 UD San Pedro
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
10 May
UD San Pedro
2 : 1 Arenas Armilla
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0 CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 3
Motril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
