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UD Songo vs AD Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between UD Songo and AD Pemba finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Songo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
UD Songo
30%
Draws
42%
AD Pemba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UD Songo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD Songo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo AD Pemba
Matches Played 26 16
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 2
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.58 0.56
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs AD Pemba
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 42 / 100
AD Pemba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

AD Pemba has conceded goals in 69% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS AD Pemba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1
UD Songo
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AD Pemba

(Away)
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
15 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 2
Costa do Sol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 16 10 5 1 23:8 35
2 Ferroviario Beira 16 8 7 1 21:9 31
3 Costa do Sol 16 8 4 4 22:11 28
4 Ferroviario Nampula 16 8 4 4 19:18 28
5 UD Songo 16 5 9 2 16:13 24
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 14 7 3 4 12:11 24
7 Ferroviario Maputo 16 5 4 7 11:11 19
8 Sofala 16 4 6 6 8:15 18
9 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
10 Baia de Pemba 15 3 7 5 7:9 16
11 Ferroviario Nacala 15 4 4 7 7:12 16
12 ENH Vilankulo 14 2 8 4 16:15 14
13 Maxaquene 16 1 7 8 7:17 10
14 Chingale de Tete 16 1 6 9 3:14 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)