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UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
UD Songo
30%
Draws
51%
Associacao Black Bulls
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Associacao Black Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Associacao Black Bulls have won more games recently than UD Songo.
  • Model gives Associacao Black Bulls a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 17%
Associacao Black Bulls Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Associacao Black Bulls
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
3:1
May 17, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super Cup
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
2:3
Dec 16, 2025 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 28 / 100
Associacao Black Bulls 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Associacao Black Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Associacao Black Bulls Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

UD Songo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: UD Songo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Associacao Black Bulls's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Associacao Black Bulls
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
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Associacao Black Bulls

(Away)
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
12 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Atomic Ngome
05 Sept
Atomic Ngome
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)