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UD Songo vs Maxaquene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
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AI Match Summary

UD Songo in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Songo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UD Songo
35%
Draws
19%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Songo lately — more wins on the board than Maxaquene.
  • UD Songo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Songo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 68%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Maxaquene
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Maxaquene
4:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs UD Songo
1:2
Oct 23, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs UD Songo
1:2
May 12, 2019 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Maxaquene
1:0
Nov 4, 2018 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Maxaquene
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 95 / 100
Maxaquene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Songo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Songo scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Maxaquene has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Maxaquene
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
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Maxaquene

(Away)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)