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UD Talavera vs UD Almansa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UD Talavera
20%
Draws
51%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Almansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Almansa lately — more wins on the board than UD Talavera.
  • Model gives UD Almansa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 10%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Talavera UD Almansa
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.71
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs UD Almansa
2:2
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs UD Talavera
3:2
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs UD Talavera
0:0
Jan 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs UD Almansa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Talavera 10 / 100
UD Almansa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Talavera UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Almansa has conceded goals in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

UD Talavera's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: UD Talavera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Talavera VS UD Almansa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Talavera

(Home)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
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UD Almansa

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)