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UD Talavera vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Talavera in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Talavera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UD Talavera
35%
Draws
28%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Talavera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • UD Talavera haven't matched Villarrubia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Talavera Villarrubia
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 9 20
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.44
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
3:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Talavera 36 / 100
Villarrubia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Talavera Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrubia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

UD Talavera found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: UD Talavera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrubia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Talavera

(Home)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
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Villarrubia

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)