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Udon Thani vs Chainat Hornbill

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Houla G.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Phangkaew R.
43' Event
Bernhardt E.

AI Match Summary

Udon Thani in this Thai League 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Udon Thani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Udon Thani
15%
Draws
46%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chainat Hornbill have won more games recently than Udon Thani.
  • Chainat Hornbill are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Udon Thani Clean Sheet 20%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udon Thani Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Chainat Hornbill
4:3
Nov 20, 2022 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Udon Thani
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Chainat Hornbill
1:1
Sep 15, 2021 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Udon Thani
1:2
Feb 21, 2021 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Chainat Hornbill
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udon Thani Compare

Top Goalscorer Suew A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Phangkaew R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Houla G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udon Thani 10 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udon Thani Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Udon Thani's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Udon Thani remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chainat Hornbill
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Udon Thani

(Home)
30 Apr
Uthai Thani
8 : 1
Udon Thani
23 Apr
Udon Thani
1 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
08 Apr
Chiangmai FC
6 : 0
Udon Thani
02 Apr
Udon Thani
2 : 1
Samut Prakan City
29 Mar
Udon Thani
4 : 3
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 6

Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
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