Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Castelldefels vs CF Badalona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Villaverde K.
30' Event
Jimenez Guardia D.
50' Event
Larrosa T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between UE Castelldefels and CF Badalona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Badalona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
UE Castelldefels
15%
Draws
64%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CF Badalona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CF Badalona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 19%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels CF Badalona
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs CF Badalona
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs CF Badalona
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs UE Castelldefels
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez Guardia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larrosa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 10 / 100
CF Badalona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Badalona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UE Castelldefels scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Badalona conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

UE Castelldefels went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CF Badalona
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

CF Badalona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
27 Sept
CF Badalona
4 : 0
San Cristobal CP
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)