Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024

UE Castelldefels

1 - 2

CF Badalona

Our Tip

Match Events

Villaverde K.

30'

Jimenez Guardia D.

50'

Larrosa T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between UE Castelldefels and CF Badalona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Badalona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

UE Castelldefels

33%

Draws

40%

CF Badalona

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

CF Badalona carry the better recent record into this one.
CF Badalona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 19%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 19%

CF Badalona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Castelldefels	CF Badalona
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	6	21
Draws	7	11
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Castelldefels vs CF Badalona

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

CF Badalona vs UE Castelldefels

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Castelldefels vs CF Badalona

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

CF Badalona vs UE Castelldefels

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez Guardia D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Larrosa T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 28 / 100

CF Badalona 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Castelldefels CF Badalona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: CF Badalona registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

UE Castelldefels found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

CF Badalona has conceded goals in 46% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS CF Badalona

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.38

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	34	24	7	3	55:20	79
2	L Hospitalet	34	22	3	9	56:28	69
3	Vilassar de Mar	34	17	9	8	41:27	60
4	CF Badalona	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
5	Prat	34	13	12	9	39:30	51
6	UE Tona	34	13	9	12	48:45	48
7	FC Lescala	34	14	6	14	57:59	48
8	Reus FC Reddis	34	12	10	12	31:28	46
9	Montanesa	34	13	7	14	32:39	46
10	FE Grama	34	13	6	15	41:47	45
11	Girona B	34	11	11	12	49:40	44
12	Mollerussa	34	12	7	15	33:46	43
13	San Cristobal CP	34	13	4	17	35:54	43
14	Peralada	34	11	9	14	34:34	42
15	Pobla Mafumet	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	FC Vilafranca	34	8	9	17	31:53	33
17	UE Castelldefels	34	7	9	18	30:47	30
18	UE Rapitenca	34	9	3	22	36:51	30