Sport Picks
UE Castelldefels vs FC Vilafranca
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 
Match Events
39'
39'
Rubio D.
51'
51'
Cano C.
86'
86'
Toro D.
AI Match Summary
FC Vilafranca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Vilafranca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Vilafranca have won more games recently than UE Castelldefels.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 17%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UE Castelldefels | FC Vilafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs FC Vilafranca
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Castelldefels
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs FC Vilafranca
0:0
Jan 22, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UE Castelldefels Compare
Top Goalscorer Cano C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
FC Vilafranca Compare
Top Goalscorer Rubio D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UE Castelldefels 31 / 100
FC Vilafranca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UE Castelldefels FC Vilafranca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Vilafranca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
FC Vilafranca lost 3 of their last 5 games.
UE Castelldefels scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
UE Castelldefels VS FC Vilafranca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
UE Castelldefels
(Home) 11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
07 Apr
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Girona B
24 Mar
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
Page 1 of 3
FC Vilafranca
(Away) 28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1 Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0 FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2 Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2 FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2 L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Prat
3 : 0 FC Vilafranca
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2 FC Vilafranca
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
07 Apr
San Cristobal CP
3 : 2 FC Vilafranca
24 Mar
Pobla Mafumet
1 : 1 FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olot | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 55:20 | 79 |
| 2 | L Hospitalet | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 56:28 | 69 |
| 3 | Vilassar de Mar | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41:27 | 60 |
| 4 | CF Badalona | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Prat | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 39:30 | 51 |
| 6 | UE Tona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:45 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lescala | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 57:59 | 48 |
| 8 | Reus FC Reddis | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 31:28 | 46 |
| 9 | Montanesa | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | 46 |
| 10 | FE Grama | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 41:47 | 45 |
| 11 | Girona B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:40 | 44 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | 43 |
| 13 | San Cristobal CP | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 35:54 | 43 |
| 14 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Pobla Mafumet | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | FC Vilafranca | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 31:53 | 33 |
| 17 | UE Castelldefels | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:47 | 30 |
| 18 | UE Rapitenca | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 36:51 | 30 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)