Sport Picks
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018 game between UE Castelldefels and Gava finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Castelldefels.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UE Castelldefels come out ahead of Gava on wins alone.
- Win probability leans UE Castelldefels's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors UE Castelldefels here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UE Castelldefels | Gava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 23 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gava
4:1
Aug 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs UE Castelldefels
0:6
Apr 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gava
3:2
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gava
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UE Castelldefels 36 / 100
Gava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UE Castelldefels Gava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gava let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
UE Castelldefels's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 45 recent games.
UE Castelldefels has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UE Castelldefels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UE Castelldefels
(Home) 11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 9
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
07 Apr
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Girona B
24 Mar
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
Page 1 of 5
Gava
(Away) 28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4 Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1 Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0 Gava
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1 Gava
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0 Gava
15 Apr
Horta
2 : 1 Gava
30 Mar
Granollers
2 : 0 Gava
18 Mar
Espanyol B
4 : 0 Gava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanyol B | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 74:25 | 90 |
| 2 | Sant Andreu | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 61:24 | 71 |
| 3 | L Hospitalet | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 61:31 | 71 |
| 4 | Terrassa | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 60:38 | 64 |
| 5 | Prat | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 57:35 | 63 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 40:25 | 63 |
| 7 | FC Asco | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 47:41 | 60 |
| 8 | CE Europa | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 48:46 | 58 |
| 9 | FC Vilafranca | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:42 | 54 |
| 10 | UE Figueres | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Horta | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 47:52 | 50 |
| 12 | Cerdanyola del Valles | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35:43 | 48 |
| 13 | Santboia | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 14 | Reus FC Reddis B | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:50 | 47 |
| 15 | Santfeliuenc | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 16 | UE Castelldefels | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:46 | 44 |
| 17 | Granollers | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 32:54 | 38 |
| 18 | Palamos CF | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 19 | Gava | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28:87 | 21 |
| 20 | Vilassar de Mar | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 24:80 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
