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UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UE Castelldefels in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
UE Castelldefels
28%
Draws
22%
Gramenet
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels have won more games recently than Gramenet.
  • UE Castelldefels are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels Gramenet
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
3:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
0:2
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
2:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 49 / 100
Gramenet 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels Gramenet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramenet let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

UE Castelldefels's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Gramenet has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UE Castelldefels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 9

Gramenet

(Away)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olot38247766:2979
2Cornella382310570:3579
3CE Europa382112555:2575
4Manlleu AEC381714746:2965
5UE Figueres3816111152:4559
6Terrassa3815121147:3657
7Pobla Mafumet3814101449:5052
8UE Rapitenca3812161046:3952
9Gramenet381019934:3349
10Gava381391638:4248
11UE Rubi3811141358:5247
12Palamos CF3811131448:5546
13UE Castelldefels3811121531:4545
14Vilassar de Mar3811111644:4744
15Santboia389151441:4742
16FC Vilafranca381191835:5342
17Montanesa388161432:4940
18Jupiter389101941:5937
19UE Vic388121840:6136
20Balaguer384122235:7724
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)