Sport Picks
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
UE Castelldefels in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Castelldefels.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gramenet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- UE Castelldefels have won more games recently than Gramenet.
- UE Castelldefels are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UE Castelldefels | Gramenet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
3:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
0:2
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
2:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UE Castelldefels 49 / 100
Gramenet 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UE Castelldefels Gramenet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gramenet let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Gramenet has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
UE Castelldefels found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
UE Castelldefels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UE Castelldefels
(Home) 11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
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11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
07 Apr
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Girona B
24 Mar
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
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Gramenet
(Away) 11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0 Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0 UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1 Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1 Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1 Gramenet
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11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0 Gramenet
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1 Gramenet
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1 Gramenet
06 Apr
UE Castelldefels
3 : 0 Gramenet
23 Mar
Santboia
0 : 0 Gramenet
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olot | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 66:29 | 79 |
| 2 | Cornella | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:35 | 79 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 55:25 | 75 |
| 4 | Manlleu AEC | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 46:29 | 65 |
| 5 | UE Figueres | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 52:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Terrassa | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Pobla Mafumet | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 49:50 | 52 |
| 8 | UE Rapitenca | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 46:39 | 52 |
| 9 | Gramenet | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 34:33 | 49 |
| 10 | Gava | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | 48 |
| 11 | UE Rubi | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 58:52 | 47 |
| 12 | Palamos CF | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 48:55 | 46 |
| 13 | UE Castelldefels | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:45 | 45 |
| 14 | Vilassar de Mar | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:47 | 44 |
| 15 | Santboia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:47 | 42 |
| 16 | FC Vilafranca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | 42 |
| 17 | Montanesa | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 32:49 | 40 |
| 18 | Jupiter | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 41:59 | 37 |
| 19 | UE Vic | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 40:61 | 36 |
| 20 | Balaguer | 38 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 35:77 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
