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UE Rapitenca vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Villaverde K.
44'
Escudero D.
44'
Escudero D.

AI Match Summary

UE Castelldefels in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UE Rapitenca
15%
Draws
85%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels haven't matched UE Rapitenca's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on UE Rapitenca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UE Rapitenca Clean Sheet 17%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Rapitenca UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs UE Rapitenca
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs UE Rapitenca
1:2
Dec 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs UE Castelldefels
1:2
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs UE Castelldefels
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Rapitenca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Rapitenca 36 / 100
UE Castelldefels 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Rapitenca UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Rapitenca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

UE Castelldefels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

UE Castelldefels's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UE Rapitenca VS UE Castelldefels
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Rapitenca

(Home)
11 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
FC Lescala
05 May
Girona B
4 : 2
UE Rapitenca
01 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
UE Tona
27 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
3 : 1
UE Rapitenca
24 Apr
UE Rapitenca
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)