Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Sants vs Pobla Mafumet

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 game between UE Sants and Pobla Mafumet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UE Sants
20%
Draws
60%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobla Mafumet come out ahead of UE Sants on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pobla Mafumet a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
UE Sants Clean Sheet 24%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Sants Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs Pobla Mafumet
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs UE Sants
0:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs UE Sants
1:0
Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs UE Sants
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Sants 29 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Sants Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pobla Mafumet conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Pobla Mafumet lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: UE Sants scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pobla Mafumet
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Sants

(Home)
23 Apr
Peralada
0 : 0
UE Sants
16 Apr
UE Sants
1 : 2
Pobla Mafumet
07 Apr
UE Tona
1 : 1
UE Sants
02 Apr
UE Sants
2 : 3
FE Grama
26 Mar
FC Vilafranca
3 : 2
UE Sants
Page 1 of 6

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Europa 30 18 6 6 42:21 60
2 Sant Andreu 30 15 11 4 50:31 56
3 San Cristobal CP 30 14 10 6 36:21 52
4 L Hospitalet 30 15 6 9 53:33 51
5 Peralada 30 14 7 9 41:33 49
6 UE Castelldefels 30 13 5 12 31:35 44
7 Pobla Mafumet 30 12 7 11 40:35 43
8 Girona B 30 12 7 11 45:34 43
9 Montanesa 30 10 10 10 38:38 40
10 FE Grama 30 9 10 11 38:46 37
11 UE Tona 30 8 9 13 36:51 33
12 UE Rapitenca 30 8 8 14 37:48 32
13 CF Badalona 30 7 10 13 32:35 31
14 FC Vilafranca 30 7 9 14 38:55 30
15 Vilassar de Mar 30 6 10 14 33:47 28
16 UE Sants 30 5 9 16 29:56 24
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 (Play Offs)