Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

UE Tona

3 - 0

Can Vidalet

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Camano Baranera A.

29'

Sureda Jimenez A.

80'

Sarr S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Can Vidalet finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

UE Tona

22%

Draws

18%

Can Vidalet

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and UE Tona come out ahead of Can Vidalet on wins alone.
UE Tona are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%

Can Vidalet Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Tona	Can Vidalet
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	7
Draws	13	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	0.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs Can Vidalet

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Can Vidalet vs UE Tona

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Camano Baranera A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sureda Jimenez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Can Vidalet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 68 / 100

Can Vidalet 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Tona Can Vidalet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Can Vidalet has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UE Tona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Can Vidalet has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Can Vidalet

0.5 Goals Scored 0.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Manresa	34	19	9	6	55:32	66
2	CF Badalona	34	17	12	5	43:27	63
3	Cornella	34	17	9	8	50:36	60
4	CF Vilanova	34	15	11	8	38:27	56
5	L Hospitalet	34	16	7	11	55:39	55
6	FE Grama	34	14	12	8	49:35	54
7	FC Lescala	34	12	10	12	51:51	46
8	Peralada	34	11	13	10	45:39	46
9	UE Tona	34	10	15	9	35:31	45
10	CE Europa B	34	12	9	13	44:53	45
11	Montanesa	34	11	9	14	31:39	42
12	Mollerussa	34	9	13	12	39:43	40
13	Vilassar de Mar	34	9	11	14	36:38	38
14	San Cristobal CP	34	8	13	13	39:48	37
15	Cerdanyola del Valles	34	6	16	12	40:53	34
16	Can Vidalet	34	8	9	17	35:53	33
17	UE Vic	34	7	11	16	31:47	32
18	Lleida	34	4	13	17	21:46	25