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UE Tona vs Cornella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
UE Tona Logo

UE Tona

0 - 1
FT
Cornella Logo

Cornella

Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Aliaga
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Cornella finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cornella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
UE Tona
30%
Draws
52%
Cornella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cornella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cornella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cornella's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 16%
Cornella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Cornella
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Cornella
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs UE Tona
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cornella Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliaga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 19 / 100
Cornella 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Cornella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cornella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Cornella has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UE Tona has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Cornella
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

Cornella

(Away)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
19 Sept
Cornella
0 : 0
L Hospitalet
12 Sept
Cornella
3 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
29 Aug
Barcelona B
1 : 2
Cornella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)