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UE Tona vs Cornella

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Aliaga

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Cornella finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cornella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UE Tona
30%
Draws
33%
Cornella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cornella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UE Tona's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 20%
Cornella Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Cornella
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 13 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Cornella
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs UE Tona
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cornella Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliaga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 42 / 100
Cornella 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Cornella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Cornella has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UE Tona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Cornella
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
26 Apr
UE Tona
0 : 0
Mollerussa
19 Apr
San Cristobal CP
2 : 2
UE Tona
Page 1 of 6

Cornella

(Away)
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
31 May
Cornella
4 : 1
CF Badalona
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)