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UE Tona vs Mollerussa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Mollerussa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
UE Tona
15%
Draws
46%
Mollerussa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mollerussa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mollerussa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mollerussa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 20%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Mollerussa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs UE Tona
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs UE Tona
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 32 / 100
Mollerussa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Mollerussa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UE Tona scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Mollerussa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

UE Tona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Mollerussa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
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Mollerussa

(Away)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)