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UE Tona vs Montanesa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Montanesa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
UE Tona
15%
Draws
34%
Montanesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Montanesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UE Tona are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Montanesa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Montanesa
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Tona
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Montanesa
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Tona
1:4
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Montanesa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 86 / 100
Montanesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Montanesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Tona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

UE Tona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montanesa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Montanesa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
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Montanesa

(Away)
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)