Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024

UE Tona

4 - 1

UE Castelldefels

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Jimenez A.

Own Goal

16'

Vilanova E.

27'

Morer P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Tona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

UE Tona

17%

Draws

13%

UE Castelldefels

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

UE Tona have won more games recently than UE Castelldefels.
Win probability leans UE Tona's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and UE Tona have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%

UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Tona	UE Castelldefels
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	13	7
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs UE Castelldefels

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Castelldefels vs UE Tona

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs UE Castelldefels

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Castelldefels vs UE Tona

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilanova E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Morer P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

UE Castelldefels Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 77 / 100

UE Castelldefels 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Tona UE Castelldefels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

UE Tona scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

UE Castelldefels has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: UE Tona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	34	24	7	3	55:20	79
2	L Hospitalet	34	22	3	9	56:28	69
3	Vilassar de Mar	34	17	9	8	41:27	60
4	CF Badalona	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
5	Prat	34	13	12	9	39:30	51
6	UE Tona	34	13	9	12	48:45	48
7	FC Lescala	34	14	6	14	57:59	48
8	Reus FC Reddis	34	12	10	12	31:28	46
9	Montanesa	34	13	7	14	32:39	46
10	FE Grama	34	13	6	15	41:47	45
11	Girona B	34	11	11	12	49:40	44
12	Mollerussa	34	12	7	15	33:46	43
13	San Cristobal CP	34	13	4	17	35:54	43
14	Peralada	34	11	9	14	34:34	42
15	Pobla Mafumet	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	FC Vilafranca	34	8	9	17	31:53	33
17	UE Castelldefels	34	7	9	18	30:47	30
18	UE Rapitenca	34	9	3	22	36:51	30