Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013

Balaguer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Vic play Balaguer in the Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, UE Vic averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Balaguer averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, UE Vic won 2, Balaguer won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2013 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for UE Vic and 1.13 for Balaguer. This points to a UE Vic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

UE Vic

32%

Draws

24%

Balaguer

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: UE Vic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

UE Vic picked up more points recently compared to Balaguer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

UE Vic Clean Sheet 21%

Balaguer Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Vic	Balaguer
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	3
Draws	10	11
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	0.97	1
Goals Conceded	1.29	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Vic vs Balaguer

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Nov 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Balaguer vs UE Vic

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Balaguer vs UE Vic

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sep 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Vic vs Balaguer

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Vic 44 / 100

Balaguer 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Vic Balaguer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UE Vic or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Vic attacking → ← attacking Balaguer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Vic scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Balaguer let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

UE Vic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Balaguer lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 20

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	38	24	7	7	66:29	79
2	Cornella	38	23	10	5	70:35	79
3	CE Europa	38	21	12	5	55:25	75
4	Manlleu AEC	38	17	14	7	46:29	65
5	UE Figueres	38	16	11	11	52:45	59
6	Terrassa	38	15	12	11	47:36	57
7	Pobla Mafumet	38	14	10	14	49:50	52
8	UE Rapitenca	38	12	16	10	46:39	52
9	Gramenet	38	10	19	9	34:33	49
10	Gava	38	13	9	16	38:42	48
11	UE Rubi	38	11	14	13	58:52	47
12	Palamos CF	38	11	13	14	48:55	46
13	UE Castelldefels	38	11	12	15	31:45	45
14	Vilassar de Mar	38	11	11	16	44:47	44
15	Santboia	38	9	15	14	41:47	42
16	FC Vilafranca	38	11	9	18	35:53	42
17	Montanesa	38	8	16	14	32:49	40
18	Jupiter	38	9	10	19	41:59	37
19	UE Vic	38	8	12	18	40:61	36
20	Balaguer	38	4	12	22	35:77	24