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UE Vic vs UE Tona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Roquet M.
66' Event
Garcia R.
89' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Vic and UE Tona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UE Vic
15%
Draws
39%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Vic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UE Tona come out ahead of UE Vic on wins alone.
  • Model gives UE Vic a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UE Vic Clean Sheet 68%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Vic UE Tona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Vic vs UE Tona
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs UE Vic
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Vic Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Roquet M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Vic 50 / 100
UE Tona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Vic UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Vic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

UE Vic's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UE Tona has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

UE Vic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Vic VS UE Tona
1.17 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Vic

(Home)
10 May
UE Vic
0 : 1
CF Badalona
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
26 Apr
UE Vic
1 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
UE Vic
5 : 0
Can Vidalet
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UE Tona

(Away)
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)