Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uerdingen vs Homberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Uerdingen Logo

Uerdingen

1 - 0
FT
Homberg Logo

Homberg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uerdingen in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uerdingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Uerdingen
20%
Draws
23%
Homberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uerdingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uerdingen lately — more wins on the board than Homberg.
  • Uerdingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Uerdingen Clean Sheet 10%
Homberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uerdingen Homberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.30 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs Homberg
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Uerdingen
4:0
Dec 16, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs Homberg
2:1
Aug 13, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Uerdingen
2:2
Apr 10, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Uerdingen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uerdingen 83 / 100
Homberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uerdingen Homberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uerdingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uerdingen scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Homberg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Uerdingen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uerdingen VS Homberg
2 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Uerdingen

(Home)
26 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
Uerdingen
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
09 Sept
Uerdingen
2 : 1
Dusseldorf II
04 Sept
Uerdingen
6 : 1
Scherpenberg
Page 1 of 6

Homberg

(Away)
19 Jul
Homberg
3 : 3
Dusseldorf II
07 Jun
Homberg
1 : 2
Kleve
30 May
Schonnebeck
4 : 0
Homberg
17 May
Homberg
5 : 1
Dingden
08 May
Germania Ratingen
3 : 1
Homberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)