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Stadium Background

Uerdingen vs MSV Dusseldorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rizzo G.
10' Event
Lukimya A.
14' Event
Molango O. R.

AI Match Summary

MSV Dusseldorf in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored MSV Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Uerdingen
20%
Draws
29%
MSV Dusseldorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uerdingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uerdingen lately — more wins on the board than MSV Dusseldorf.
  • Win probability leans Uerdingen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Uerdingen Clean Sheet 18%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uerdingen MSV Dusseldorf
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs MSV Dusseldorf
3:6
Dec 11, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
MSV Dusseldorf vs Uerdingen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uerdingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Odenthal M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rizzo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

MSV Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukimya A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molango O. R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uerdingen 49 / 100
MSV Dusseldorf 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uerdingen MSV Dusseldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uerdingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uerdingen scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

MSV Dusseldorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Uerdingen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uerdingen VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uerdingen

(Home)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
26 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
Uerdingen
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
09 Sept
Uerdingen
2 : 1
Dusseldorf II
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MSV Dusseldorf

(Away)
31 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Meerbusch
28 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 3
Bergisch Born
25 Jan
Buderich
3 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
20 Jul
Buderich
2 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
04 Jun
Uerdingen
3 : 6
MSV Dusseldorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
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